Here’s a link to a link of a cool study.
The idea is this: teams that make the playoffs often fail to repeat the next year. Why? Because they probably were mostly lucky the first time.
Suppose a team won 100 games. How good a team was it in terms of talent? The answer: probably less than a 100-game talent. Either it was a less-than-100 talent that got lucky, or it was a more-than-100 talent that got unlucky. But since there are many more below-100 teams than above-100 teams, it was probably on the lucky side.
There are many interesting specifics in the full study that compare actual performance to talent, such as this one: The average 100-win team is really only a 93-win team. I find that fascinating.
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Sky is a baseball fan and racket sport afficianado living in upstate NY. His favorite color is orange and is just about ready to give up on his life-long dream to become the next Magnus ver Magnuson (World's Strongest Man). His favorite baseball teams are the Yankees and Red Sox, proving that there's hope in the Middle East.