I now have two football blogs that I read regularly: NFL Stats just joined the P-F-R Blog in my RSS reader. Today’s post uses two “brilliant” observations to come up with two simple rules for betting Vegas Under/Overs.
Observations
- The NFL is impossible to predict before the season starts.
- Regression to the mean rules the day.
Betting Rules
- Take the under on teams predicted to finish with 9.5 wins or more.
- Take the over on teams predicted to finish with 6.5 wins or less.
Read the post for more explanation. Or go place your bets.
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Sky is a baseball fan and racket sport afficianado living in upstate NY. His favorite color is orange and is just about ready to give up on his life-long dream to become the next Magnus ver Magnuson (World's Strongest Man). His favorite baseball teams are the Yankees and Red Sox, proving that there's hope in the Middle East.