This might surprise you, but I’m not going to get all worked up about the injustice involved with this year’s Gold Glove winners. I’ve come to expect this ridiculousness.

Therefore I’ll keep the snarky comments to a minimum and just rank the award choices from best to worst, based on the difference in fielding runs between the actual winner and should-be winner. Pitchers and catchers are excluded for lack of an objective measure I’m confident in. And these ratings don’t include throwing arm or double-play ability, which are both important yet tough to measure.

Nailed It

  • NL OF - Andruw Jones: He’s still good, coming in as the top NL outfielder.
  • NL OF - Carlos Beltran: Right on. He was nipping at Jones’ heals this year.
  • AL OF - Ichiro Suzuki: He was the second best outfielder in the AL behind Curtis Granderson, who didn’t win a Gold Glove for being seven runs better than any other center fielder in the majors.

In The Ballpark

  • AL 1B - Kevin Youkilis: His seven fielding runs were six behind Casey Kotchman. Probably some hitting and team bias here.
  • NL OF - Aaron Rowand: He’s a bit above average, but the best of the non-Andruw, non-Beltran choices would have been Juan Pierre or Jacque Jones, both about seven runs better.
  • AL 3B - Adrian Beltre: Beltre’s overall value is a bit underrated, so I won’t harp on him. But Brandon Inge and Joe Crede were both 10 runs better.
  • AL OF - Grady Sizemore: While there’s certainly reason not to put total faith in the zone-rating metrics in center field, Coco Crisp rated ten runs better than Sizemore. Did I mention that Granderson was light-years beyond either of them?

Let’s Try That Again

  • NL 3B - David Wright: This one is just weird. Wright’s reputation is that of a mediocre fielder, but he was actually very good in 2007, 14 runs better than average. But Pedro Feliz was unbelievable at +28 runs. Any team looking for a shortstop should consider him. Ryan Zimmerman and Scott Rolen were also at or slightly above Wright’s level.
  • AL 2B - Placido Polanco: Yeah, yeah, Polanco had an amazing seven-year errorless streak. But Mark Ellis had only five and showed better range. Ellis was +20 runs while Polanco was +6.
  • NL OF - Jeff Francoeur: Sure, he’s good for a right fielder, but the difference between right and center is about ten runs. Without giving him credit for his arm, Francoeur falls a dozen runs short of the NL’s top three outfielders.
  • AL OF - Torii Hunter: Here’s another reason Hunter’s a poor free agent signing — his defense has slipped to below league average. After giving Granderson and Crisp their due, Joey Gathright and Johnny Damon are the next in line. Really.
  • NL 2B - Orlanda Hudson: He won based on reputation. Chase Utley was the best, 15 runs better than Hudson.
  • AL SS - Orlanda Cabrera: Cabrera was average, while John McDonald was +15 runs in two-thirds of a season. At least Jeter’s -24 runs didn’t win again.

Might As Well Give It To Rafael Palmeiro

  • NL 1B - Derrek Lee: He was merely a league-average first baseman in 2007, while Albert Pujols was 24 runs better. When in doubt, go with last year’s winner, right? Todd Helton merits a mention at 15 runs, on par with the best AL 1Bs.
  • NL SS - Jimmy Rollins: Not only was Rollins 3 runs worse than average, there were a number of very good NL shortstops that managers could have accidentally written down. Troy Tulowitzky was +22, Omar Vizquel was +19, and even Jose Reyes was +15. Forget Scott Boras, I want Jimmy Rollins’ agent.

Speaking of Rafael Palmeiro, you might enjoy this post from a month ago, where I run through the best fielders at each position 2007 with a minimum of only 28 games fielded — the same number Palmeiro had when he won the Gold Glove at first base in 1999.

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6 Responses to “2007 Gold Glove Winners”
  1. JinAZ says:

    In defense of Lee, the fielding bible indicated that he’s Darn Good at corralling errant throws from his infielders. Not being able to track that ability is a major deficit with our 1B fielding stats.

    But yeah, with Pujols in the same league, I’m not sure how you can give it to Lee… -j

  2. dan says:

    Check the spelling on the Orlando’s

  3. dan says:

    I have a proposition/question for you (and Justin, if he sees this)…

    My dad is extremely anti-statistics in every way except when it involves batting average (he’s 53, give him a break). So when I try to tell him that David Wright is deserving of being at least in the discussion for NL gold glove, he says the numbers are meaningless (we’re both yankee fans, but I’m still gonna argue for wright in this case). He then completely dismisses the assertion that Derek Jeter is arguably the worst short stop in MLB today (by BIS +/- rating and zone rating), and one of the worst of all time (by relative range factors).

    Considering that, he won’t read the article posted below, explaining some of these things. Any suggestions on how to get through to him on the topic of fielding statistics?

    http://www.billjamesonline.net/fieldingbible/jeter.asp

    Thanks

  4. JinAZ says:

    I remember that article being the most level-headed take on Jeter vs. Everett that I’d seen. … If a guy won’t read it and won’t listen to reasoned arguments, there’s not much you can do to convince him. At that point, it’s essentially the same as arguing about someone’s faith.
    -j

  5. MB says:

    I’ve always thought this article was a pretty good primer on the zone based systems (albeit maybe a little technical for someone who has never thought about them):

    http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/dialed_in/discussion/what_is_zone_rating/

    I’d say something about the goal being estimating opportunities since that’s the one problem with regular fielding stats. Assists is kind of like hits for batters without having at bats — what the heck are you going to do with that?

    Maybe tell him something about Tango’s fans scouting report and that stat heads don’t necessarily think the numbers are everything (especially in small samples).

    I don’t know.

  6. Sky says:

    Sorry for the delayed response — I was in Kentucky for a wedding and couldn’t get myself to spend the $13 a day for internet access that the Marriot was demanding.

    Dan, sounds like your dad just isn’t interested in the truth and is hung up on protecting Jeter’s status as a Yankee legend, no matter the cost. If you really care about getting through eventually, I’d start with discussing non-traditional concepts that would affirm your dad’s views of certain players (Jeter’s good because of OBP or Melky’s not just an overblown Yankee prospect because there’s real value in playing center field and throwing out 14 baserunners). If he starts buying into your line of thinking, you can start working your way down a long chain of ideas towards Jeter’s fielding.

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