Comments on: Please Explain Head-To-Head Tiebreakers http://skyking162.com/2008/01/please-explain-head-to-head-tiebreakers/ baseball with a hint of lime Thu, 20 Nov 2008 10:40:49 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3 By: Sky http://skyking162.com/2008/01/please-explain-head-to-head-tiebreakers/#comment-960 Sky Wed, 09 Jan 2008 17:41:23 +0000 http://skyking162.com/2008/01/please-explain-head-to-head-tiebreakers/#comment-960 <i>But game outcomes aren’t 50-50. If it’s 60-40 in favor of the truly better team (which I think is reasonable for football), by naming the head-to-head winner as better, you’ll be right 60% of the time.</i> Well, that's if you only look at the head-to-head game. Why ignore the other team's loss? NCAA football is a 119 team league that only plays 11 regular season games. You HAVE to have an intelligent strength of schedule adjustment. But game outcomes aren’t 50-50. If it’s 60-40 in favor of the truly better team (which I think is reasonable for football), by naming the head-to-head winner as better, you’ll be right 60% of the time.

Well, that’s if you only look at the head-to-head game. Why ignore the other team’s loss?

NCAA football is a 119 team league that only plays 11 regular season games. You HAVE to have an intelligent strength of schedule adjustment.

]]> By: Mike http://skyking162.com/2008/01/please-explain-head-to-head-tiebreakers/#comment-959 Mike Wed, 09 Jan 2008 15:33:20 +0000 http://skyking162.com/2008/01/please-explain-head-to-head-tiebreakers/#comment-959 hmmm... an interesting point. But game outcomes aren't 50-50. If it's 60-40 in favor of the truly better team (which I think is reasonable for football), by naming the head-to-head winner as better, you'll be right 60% of the time. That doesn't sound great, but I don't know how to figure out how likely it is that you'd be correct in picking the better team based on how their losses compare. I guess ideally, you'd advocate a system in which teams were credited for each win and debited for each loss based on how likely those outcomes were? hmmm… an interesting point. But game outcomes aren’t 50-50. If it’s 60-40 in favor of the truly better team (which I think is reasonable for football), by naming the head-to-head winner as better, you’ll be right 60% of the time. That doesn’t sound great, but I don’t know how to figure out how likely it is that you’d be correct in picking the better team based on how their losses compare.

I guess ideally, you’d advocate a system in which teams were credited for each win and debited for each loss based on how likely those outcomes were?

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