I was going to write a post with the above title, but Sal Baxamusa beat me to it over at The Hardball Times.

Not only does he lay out the argument that first half stats are merely a sampling of each player’s underlying skills, but he includes some nifty spreadsheets that will spit out a current Marcel projection for any pitcher or hitter just by copying and pasting data from the Hardball Times’ player pages.

Moral of the story: don’t just quote a player’s first half stats as proof of how he will perform during the second half.

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